Category Other News Events

Upcoming U.S Non Farm Payrolls NFP 5th April. The past non-farm payrolls (NFP) report is a critical economic indicator that provides valuable insights into the health of the labor market in the United States.

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on a monthly basis, this report details the total number of jobs added or lost in non-farm industries, excluding farming and government employment.

Investors, policymakers, economists, and analysts closely monitor this data as it sheds light on trends in job creation, unemployment rates, wages, and overall economic growth.

A higher-than-expected NFP figure typically signals a strong economy and may lead to increased consumer spending and business investments.

On the other hand, a lower-than-expected NFP figure indicates potential weakness in the labor market and could impact financial markets and monetary policy decisions.

Therefore, understanding and interpreting past NFP reports is crucial for making informed decisions in both personal finance and professional settings.

The last Non Farm Payroll trades with us

Before I speak about the non farm payrolls of last months, let me recapitulate on the NFP news released before that. If you have been following me on the website or my youtube channel, you will realise all my predictions for the NFP news have been a success.

We sometimes find challenges when the news comes in competition with other news releases. Besides, I always trust my intuition and find the best trading strategy suited for that challenge.

That’s the case with the past Non Farm Payrolls report. I did put too much attention on the NFP itself and neglected the unemployment rates. The two news mentioned followed by the Hourly Earnings can be a big burden to your trade.

So what happened last time, the direction was very well predicted and and before the news reached its final destination on the chart it reversed very brutally. I’m pretty sure many people have blown their account that day.

Speaking of intuition, I knew something wasn’t right and came up out of the trade very fast before the reversal. I really hope for the upcoming Non Farm Payrolls of the 5th April to trade at full potential.

As a reminder, it’s now been three years since I am on the green trading the NFP news. I really hope what was yesterday will be today and forever. NFP is among the forex news where I really put my energies because it’s worth it.

I always recommend fundamental scalpers, news traders to choose what is important in the forex business as this forex world is just too big. I have also noticed that all the small news that happens during the weeks are really energy drainers.

You can save big money and trade it for big news, don’t be impatient. That will lead you to turn around in a vicious circle with a bonus on headaches and stress. NFP news, CPI news and today’s boring Fed News are really worth trading for a life changing experience.

Forex news prediction calendar on forexnewspredictions.com website

As we speak about small news releases during the week, the website forexnewspredictions.com have created a calendar with news predictions. This is because most of you have demanded more signal services besides what the website had projected for.

Of course since this innovation, the calendar has been helpful for many traders who found interest in it. By checking the predictions history on the calendar, you will notice a lot of wins and few losses.

As you all know, you can’t win it all in this game. But you can if you focus on one, two or three trades only monthly, as I explained above.

My prediction on Upcoming U.S Non Farm Payrolls NFP 5th April

The upcoming non-farm payrolls news scheduled for April 5th, 2024 is anticipated to be a critical event for economists, investors, and policymakers alike.

Non-farm payroll data is a key indicator of the overall health of the U.S. economy, as it provides valuable insights into job creation and employment trends.

Analysts will closely scrutinize the report for any signs of wage growth, labor force participation rates, unemployment levels, and sector-specific performance.

This information is crucial for guiding monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve and forecasting market movements. As such, market volatility may increase leading up to and following the release of this highly anticipated economic data.

Traders and investors are advised to stay informed and exercise caution while interpreting and reacting to the implications of this essential report on April 5th, 2024.

At least for now we have an idea of the Unemployment Rates reports to come because of of last prediction. As I said previously we really wish all the news to align in one direction for potential full win.

With the aid of the prediction calendar, we have done a lot to help you win trades and stay profitable. Do me a favour and support my effort by subscribing to receive my accurate prediction on the upcoming Non Farm Payrolls news on the 5th April 2024.

Update Non Farm Payrolls NFP news 5th April 2024

The U.S job market reports and forecasts by economists these days are very messy. You will notice the “actuals” keeps changing upon almost every news release.

But for us traders, what matters is to beat the forecasts in order to make money. So as per my analyses, it starts to look very true regarding the fed rates cut this year.

Simply because, I have noticed the U.S job market starts cooling. Yes, even the Non Farm Payrolls of 5th April 2024 are going down on the chart.

Given a forecast of 205k by economists on investing.com and 200k on other websites, I strongly believe the result will be above that. So I expect the results to be around 210k-225k for April 5th 2024 NFP news.

In conclusion, I will buy the USD and I am convinced this trade will be at full potential with no ugly surprises. In general, we have a big chance to go bullish with all three news to be released on the same day.

Join me on WhatApp too.

Upcoming U.S. unemployment rates of 5th April. The upcoming U.S. unemployment rate is a topic of great concern and interest among economists, policymakers, and the general public alike.

As the nation continues to grapple with the economic impacts of the labor market slowing the fed rate cut appointment, there are several key factors that will influence the trajectory of unemployment in the coming months.

These include ongoing disruptions to industries such as hospitality, travel, and retail; the effectiveness of government stimulus measures in supporting businesses and workers; and broader trends in job creation and labor force participation.

Monitoring these indicators closely will be essential for understanding and responding effectively to shifts in the U.S. unemployment rate. The U.S. Unemployment Rate as of April 5th, 2024 is a critical economic indicator that provides insights into the overall health and stability of the labor market.

This data is essential for policymakers, economists, and businesses to make informed decisions about hiring, investment, and economic stimulus measures. A low unemployment rate typically signifies a tight job market with high demand for workers, which can lead to wage growth and increased consumer spending.

Conversely, a high unemployment rate indicates economic challenges such as job layoffs, weak consumer confidence, and decreased business activity. Monitoring this metric closely allows stakeholders to identify trends, assess the effectiveness of labor policies, and develop strategies to address any fluctuations in job availability.

The U.S Unemployment Rate and the NFP

Overall, the U.S. Unemployment Rate on April 5th, 2024 serves as a valuable barometer for gauging the country’s economic vitality and informing future policy directions. The U.S. unemployment rate, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is a key indicator of the health of the economy.

One closely watched report that provides insight into this rate is the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report, which measures changes in employment figures across various industries, excluding farm workers, government employees, and a few others.

The NFP report is released on a monthly basis and can have a significant impact on financial markets and investor sentiment. Analysts use this data to gauge the overall strength of the labor market and make predictions about future economic conditions.

A higher than expected NFP number typically leads to positive market reactions, while a lower than expected number can signal potential economic weakness. Understanding trends in both the U.S. unemployment rate and NFP report is crucial for making informed decisions in financial markets and assessing broader economic health.

My trade on the upcoming U.S. unemployment rates of 5th April

As of April 5th, 2024, the U.S. unemployment rate stands at a critical juncture that could be interpreted as either bearish or bullish. The economy has been experiencing some fluctuation in recent months, with job growth still tight and concerns rising about inflationary pressures.

On one hand, a higher unemployment rate could be seen as bearish, indicating a weaker labor market and potential economic downturn ahead. However, it could also be viewed as bullish if interpreted as a temporary setback in the face of broader structural improvements in the economy.

Factors such as government stimulus measures, changes in workforce participation rates, and ongoing efforts to address long-standing issues like skill mismatches will all play a significant role in determining whether this uptick in unemployment is a short-term blip or a more concerning trend for the future.

What concerns us the most is to make money as traders. So we are looking at what the market will offer us, the opportunity to make money. Because the NFP news always comes first, we will focus more on the Non Farm Payroll of the 5th April 2024.

The two news articles, the NFP and the unemployment rates are released at the same time. This makes the trade very challenging. But if we know the exact same direction for both the impactful news, we will be on the good side of the story.

My prediction on the upcoming U.S. unemployment rates of 5th April

So I predict the unemployment rate of the 5th April 2024 to stay at the actual level of 3.9% or go down at 3.7% or even less. Knowing this will help us positioning for the NFP news to come.

We really want to see the unemployment rate of 5th April stay unchanged from the past month. So that it doesn’t disturb the Nfp news release. To give us a clean opportunity to win at full potential.

For the traders information, It’s now three years straight that I have never lost an NFP news while trading. I am optimistic that I will stay in the win for a very long time. Pay your subscriptions today, to receive my signal for the NFP news prediction, news release of the 5th April 2024.

Zama Zama Forex Trader

Core Retail Sales News Prediction 14th March. On March 14th, 2024, the core retail sales data provided critical insights into the current state of the retail sector. This information specifically focuses on sales data excluding automobiles and gasoline, offering a more accurate representation of consumer spending trends.

The core retail sales for this particular date serve as a benchmark for analysts and economists to gauge overall economic health and consumer confidence levels. By examining these figures, businesses can make informed decisions regarding inventory management, pricing strategies, and future expansion plans.

Additionally, policymakers rely on this data to assess the effectiveness of monetary policies and make adjustments accordingly. Overall, the core retail sales report for March 14th, 2024 provides valuable information that is crucial for understanding the pulse of the retail industry and broader economy.

What to expect from Core Retail Sales News Prediction 14th March?

As we approach the release of the Core Retail Sales News Prediction on 14th March, market participants can expect a key economic indicator that provides insight into consumer spending trends.

The core retail sales data excludes volatile categories such as automobiles and gasoline, offering a more accurate reflection of underlying consumer demand. Analysts will be closely monitoring this report for any indications of strength or weakness in the retail sector, which plays a crucial role in driving overall economic growth.

A better-than-expected reading could boost investor confidence and potentially lead to increased market activity, while a disappointing figure may raise concerns about the health of the economy.

As always, it is important for traders to remain vigilant and prepared to react accordingly to any surprises or fluctuations in the market following the release of this significant economic data.

Core Retail Sales News Prediction 14th March?

Based on current economic trends and forecasting models, the prediction for Core Retail Sales News on 14th March 2024 is expected to show a modest increase compared to the previous month.

Factors contributing to this anticipated growth include steady job creation, rising wages, and strong consumer confidence. Additionally, the recent speech of Powell and hope of cuts in interest rates by the Federal Reserve are likely to incentivize higher consumer spending.

However, potential risks such as geopolitical tensions or unexpected changes in market conditions could impact these projections. It is advised that investors and policymakers closely monitor these developments leading up to the release of the Core Retail Sales data in order to make informed decisions regarding their strategies and policies.

Our Core Retail Sales News Prediction 14th March?

Based on the current economic indicators and market trends, the prediction for Core Retail Sales News on 14th March 2024 suggests a buy recommendation.

The retail sector is experiencing growth due to increasing consumer confidence, rising disposable incomes, and overall improving economic conditions. With strong job gains and low unemployment rates, consumers are more willing to spend, leading to an uptick in retail sales.

Additionally, technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences have prompted businesses to innovate and adapt their strategies to meet changing demands. As a result, the outlook for core retail sales appears positive as we approach the highlighted date in March 2024.

But as traders we have to beat the forecasts in order to make profit. So despite the positive core retail sales, I dont feel like the result will be equal or superior to the 0.5% forecast from economists. Therefore I will sell the USD.

This can be updated if there is any change…

Upcoming Core Consumer Price Index CPI March 12th. The upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release of 12th March 2024 is highly anticipated by economists, policymakers, and investors alike as it provides a crucial gauge of inflation in the country.

In light of recent economic turbulence caused by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent government stimulus measures, there is heightened interest in understanding how prices are trending across various sectors of the economy.

The CPI data will shed light on whether inflationary pressures are building up or if deflationary forces are at play. This information is vital for guiding monetary policy decisions, forecasting economic growth, and making investment choices.

Analysts will closely scrutinize the CPI report to assess the impact on consumer spending patterns, wage growth, and overall market sentiment. As such, market volatility may be expected following its release as investors react to any surprises or deviations from consensus forecasts.

CPI News impact

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services. When CPI news is released, it can have a significant impact on financial markets and investor sentiment.

A higher than expected CPI reading may signal rising inflation, leading to concerns about potential interest rate hikes by central banks. This could cause stock prices to fall as investors anticipate tighter monetary policy.

Conversely, a lower CPI reading may be seen as a sign of weaker demand and economic activity, prompting fears of deflation. As such, investors closely monitor CPI data releases for insights into future trends in the economy and potential investment opportunities or risks.

Why to trade Upcoming Core Consumer Price Index CPI March 12th

Trading CPI (Consumer Price Index) news can be a lucrative strategy for experienced traders due to the significant impact it has on global financial markets. CPI is a key economic indicator that measures inflation rates and consumer purchasing power, directly impacting interest rates and currency values.

As such, when CPI data is released, it can cause market volatility and present trading opportunities for those who are prepared to act swiftly. By closely following CPI releases and understanding their implications on various asset classes, professional traders can capitalize on the price movements that result from these reports.

Additionally, trading CPI news allows traders to stay informed about broader economic trends and make better-informed decisions in their trading activities. Overall, incorporating CPI news into a trading strategy can provide valuable insights and enhance profitability in the competitive financial markets.

CPI of march 12th news prediction

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on March 12th provides valuable information for investors looking to make informed decisions about buying or selling assets. The CPI measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services, indicating the rate of inflation.

A higher CPI suggests that prices are increasing, potentially leading to a decrease in purchasing power. Conversely, a lower CPI indicates deflationary pressures and may signal economic weakness. Investors can use this data to anticipate future interest rate movements by central banks, adjust asset allocations accordingly, and hedge against inflation or deflation risks.

Ultimately, understanding and analyzing the CPI of March 12th news is essential in making well-informed investment decisions in today’s dynamic market environment. Based on current economic indicators and market trends, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 12th is predicted to show a slight increase in inflation rates.

Factors such as rising energy costs, supply chain disruptions, and strong consumer demand have all contributed to inflationary pressures in recent months. Analysts are closely monitoring core inflation metrics, which exclude volatile categories like food and energy prices, to gauge the underlying trend in price levels.

The Federal Reserve continues to closely monitor CPI data as they consider monetary policy decisions moving forward. Investors and policymakers will be paying close attention to the release of the CPI report on March 12th for insights into potential future interest rate movements and overall economic stability.

Zama Zama Fx Prediction Upcoming Core Consumer Price Index CPI March 12th

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) of March 12 has been a hot topic in economic forecasting circles, as analysts eagerly awaited the release of this key indicator.

The CPI is a measure of inflation based on the prices of a basket of goods and services typically consumed by urban households. This data is crucial for policymakers, economists, and investors to gauge the health of the economy and make informed decisions about monetary policy.

My March 12 CPI forecast is expected to show whether inflation rates are accelerating or moderating, which could have significant implications for interest rates, stock market performance, and consumer confidence.

Analysts will be closely monitoring this news forecast to assess the impact on the markets and anticipate potential economic trends moving forward. Based on recent economic indicators and trends, I am predicting that the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 12th, 2024 will exhibit a modest increase in the month-over-month comparison.

This prediction is supported by various factors such as rising energy prices, increased consumer demand, and supply chain disruptions. Additionally, the current inflationary pressures and labor market dynamics are likely to contribute to this uptick in core CPI.

It is important for policymakers and market participants to closely monitor these developments as they can have significant implications for monetary policy decisions and overall economic performance. In conclusion, while the exact magnitude of the increase remains uncertain, all signs point towards a slight rise in core CPI for March 12th, 2024.

Important: We may experience duality on the news release. The candle may fly up and then come down and vice versa. I strongly believe the CPI YoY will be negative USD based, the CPI MoM to be equal or superior to the forecast and the Core CPI to also be equal or superior to the forecast.

In conclusion, I will buy the USD and let things be…. this can be updated anytime.

Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction March 8th. The non-farm payroll report is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the health of the labor market in the United States. Past non-farm payroll results have shown fluctuations in job growth, unemployment rates, and wage increases.

For example, in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, non-farm payroll results were dismal, with job losses reaching historic levels and unemployment rates skyrocketing. However, in recent months, the non-farm payroll report has shown more positive results with steady job growth and declining unemployment rates.

One significant trend in past non-farm payroll results is the impact on the financial markets. Positive non-farm payroll results often lead to a surge in stock markets as investors interpret the data as a sign of economic strength.

Conversely, negative results can cause market volatility and uncertainty as investors worry about the health of the economy. In addition, the Federal Reserve closely monitors non-farm payroll results when making decisions about interest rates and monetary policy, as the data provides valuable insight into the overall health of the economy.

Looking ahead, analysts and policymakers will continue to closely monitor non-farm payroll results to gauge the strength of the labor market and the overall economy. As the US continues to recover from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, non-farm payroll data will be crucial in understanding the long-term impact on employment and wage growth.

By analyzing past non-farm payroll results and trends, we can better understand the challenges and opportunities facing the labor market and make informed decisions to support economic growth and stability.

• The January employment report showed headlines for the key metrics — nonfarm payrolls, private sector payrolls, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings — that were stronger than expected (much stronger for the payrolls data).
• The report had a few quirks, too, namely a notable drop in the average workweek to 34.1 hours from 34.3 hours, benchmark revisions that showed nonfarm payroll employment in November and December combined 126,000 higher than previously reported, and updated population estimates that decreased the estimated size of the civilian non institutional population by 625,000 and the civilian labor force by 299,000 in December.

Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction 8th March Key Factors

• January nonfarm payrolls increased by 353,000. The 3-month average for total nonfarm payrolls increased to 289,000 from 227,000. December nonfarm payrolls revised to 333,000 from 216,000. November nonfarm payrolls revised to 182,000 from 173,000.
• January private sector payrolls increased by 317,000. December private sector payrolls revised to 278,000 from 164,000. November private sector payrolls revised to 152,000 from 136,000.
• January unemployment rate was 3.7%, versus 3.7% in December. Persons unemployed for 27 weeks or more accounted for 20.8% of the unemployed versus 19.7% in December. The U6 unemployment rate, which accounts for unemployed and underemployed workers, was 7.2% versus 7.1% in December.
• January average hourly earnings were up 0.6% versus 0.4% in December. Over the last 12 months, average hourly earnings have risen 4.5%, versus 4.3% for the 12 months ending in December.
• The average workweek in January was 34.1 hours, versus 34.3 hours in December. Manufacturing workweek was unchanged at 39.8 hours. Factory overtime was dipped 0.1 hour to 2.7 hours.
• The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5%.
• The employment-population ratio increased to 60.2% from 60.1% in December.

Upcoming Non Farm Payroll (NFP) 8th March

The upcoming non-farm payroll report is highly anticipated among economists, investors, and policymakers alike. This report provides crucial insights into the health of the labor market in the United States by detailing the number of jobs added or lost in the previous month, as well as the unemployment rate.

These data points are essential in understanding the overall economic health of the country and can have significant implications for financial markets. Therefore, analysts will carefully scrutinize the upcoming report for any signs of strength or weakness in the labor market.

One key aspect to watch for in the upcoming non-farm payroll report is the rate of job growth. A strong job growth number typically indicates a healthy economy and can lead to increased consumer spending and investment.

On the other hand, a weak job growth number may signal economic troubles and could prompt policymakers to take action to stimulate the economy. Additionally, the unemployment rate will also be closely watched, as a lower unemployment rate suggests a tight labor market and potential inflationary pressures.

Overall, the upcoming non-farm payroll report holds significant importance for understanding the current state of the U.S. economy. By carefully analyzing the data released in this report, economists and investors can gain valuable insights into the health of the labor market and make informed decisions about the future direction of the economy. As the release date approaches, the financial markets will be on edge, eagerly awaiting the results of this key economic indicator.

Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction 8th March

As we approach the 8th of March, investors and economists alike are eagerly anticipating the release of the Non Farm Payroll (NFP) report. This report, which is released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on the first Friday of each month, provides valuable insights into the state of the U.S. labor market. The NFP report is considered to be a key indicator of economic health and is closely watched by investors as it can have a significant impact on financial markets.

In recent months, the NFP report has shown encouraging signs of growth in the U.S. economy, with strong job gains and a declining unemployment rate. Economists are predicting that this trend will continue into March, with expectations of a solid NFP figure to be released. This positive outlook is based on factors such as strong consumer spending, increased business investments, and overall economic confidence. A strong NFP report would further bolster the case for a healthy U.S. economy and could potentially lead to a rally in the stock market.

However, it is important to note that economic forecasts are never guaranteed and unexpected events can always impact the outcome of the NFP report. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, changes in government policies, or unexpected fluctuations in the labor market could all influence the final NFP figure. As such, it is crucial for investors to stay informed and closely monitor economic data leading up to the release of the NFP report on the 8th of March. Overall, the NFP report is a critical piece of information that provides valuable insights into the state of the U.S. economy and has the potential to impact financial markets around the world.

How I see Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction March 8th

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a crucial economic indicator that provides valuable insights into the health of the U.S. economy. Released on the first Friday of every month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the NFP report measures the number of jobs added or lost in the non-farm sector, excluding agriculture, government, and a few other sectors.

This report is closely watched by investors, economists, and policymakers as it gives a snapshot of the overall employment situation in the country. The NFP report has a significant impact on financial markets, as it can influence monetary policy decisions, interest rates, and investor sentiment.

One of the key impacts of the NFP report is on the stock market. A stronger-than-expected NFP report, indicating robust job growth, can lead to a rise in stock prices as it reflects a healthy economy and increased consumer spending.

On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected report, showing a decrease in job growth or rising unemployment rates, can cause stock prices to fall as it signals economic weakness and potential recession. Investors closely analyze the NFP report to gauge the strength of the economy and make informed decisions regarding their investment portfolios.

Furthermore, the NFP report also affects the foreign exchange market, particularly the value of the U.S. dollar. A positive NFP report often leads to a stronger dollar as it indicates a strong economy and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

On the contrary, a negative NFP report can lead to a weaker dollar as it suggests economic weakness and lower chances of interest rate increases. Traders and currency speculators closely monitor the NFP report and its impact on the dollar’s value to make profitable trading decisions.

In conclusion, the NFP report plays a crucial role in shaping market trends, influencing investor behavior, and providing insights into the overall health of the U.S. economy. In brief, as i see things, the labor market will remain strong.

But because as traders we are fighting to beat the forecast, I am seeing myself selling the USD. This conclusion will be updated, so please visit the website regularly for precisions.

Update on Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction March 8th

On investing.com the forecast is 188k and the previous is 353k. With this temporary view from market analysts and economists, we are at the point of saying the upcoming NFP is going to be bullish. But you all have seen the past two NFP news, the forecast got updated a day before the news release.

So, we will keep an eye on the NFP news forecast from inversting.com. If the forecast stays unchanged, we will stay bullish. But if the forecast gets an update, I will update our prediction accordingly. So visit this page sometimes later…

Update No2 on Non Farm Payroll NFP News Prediction March 8th

As we keep an open eye on Friday’s NFP, e have noticed a change of forecast on for this news event on investing.com

From 188k forecast to 190k. But we know for sure is that, the U.S labor market is coolling.

But because our main target is to trade and win, we are looking at beating the forecasts. So we stay bullish on the USD.

Core PCE Price Index News Direction Prediction February 29th . The PCE Price Index is a crucial measure in determining inflation levels and understanding the overall health of an economy. It provides insights into the purchasing power of consumers and helps policymakers make informed decisions regarding monetary policy and economic stability.

Additionally, the PCE Price Index is used by firms and investors to predict inflation and make strategic financial decisions. This index reflects changes in prices of goods and services that are purchased by households, making it a reliable indicator of consumer inflation.

On the other hand, The Core PCE Price Index is a key measure of inflation that focuses on consumer prices while excluding the volatile food and energy components. This index is widely used by central banks, policymakers, and economists as an indicator of underlying inflation trends.

It provides important insights into the overall price levels and helps in assessing the effectiveness of monetary policies in controlling inflation. Furthermore, the Core PCE Price Index is considered to be a more reliable measure of inflation since it removes the impact of temporary price fluctuations in food and energy.

By monitoring the Core PCE Price Index, analysts can get a better understanding of the long-term inflationary pressures in the economy and make informed decisions regarding monetary policy, investment strategies, and forecasting future economic conditions.

In conclusion, the Core PCE Price Index is a crucial metric that provides valuable information about underlying inflation trends and helps in making informed decisions regarding monetary policy and economic forecasting.

“In today’s rapidly changing world, the significance of accurate inflation measures, such as the Core PCE Price Index, cannot be overstated. It serves as a vital tool for policymakers, central banks, and economists to assess the current and future state of inflation and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Additionally, the Core PCE Price Index is particularly relevant for countries like Singapore, where the prices of food and energy items are directly influenced by global commodity market fluctuations and can impact domestic prices.

In Singapore, including these items in the Core PCE Price Index allows policymakers to better understand and address the pass-through of global price changes to domestic prices.” “In today’s rapidly changing world, the significance of accurate inflation measures, such as the Core PCE Price Index, cannot be overstated.

The US Core PCE price index forecast

The US PCE price index is published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is different from the Consumer Price Index, which measures prices in a similar way but places greater weight on the prices consumers actually pay, as opposed to the cost of seller-made goods.

The latter is relevant for macroeconomic analysis because it can be used to make inferences about consumer behavior; if the PCE is rising then consumers might be purchasing less, while if the CPI is rising it is likely consumers are paying more.

There are two types of PCE data: the “current” PCE, which is released on a monthly basis, and “chained” PCE, which is reported with a several-month lag. Chained PCE is the preferred measure because it accounts for changes to the basket consumption in response to changes in relative prices.

Furthermore, the index is “chained” to the value of goods and services prices since 2009, which implies that we should actually interpret the numbers as being in terms of changes, rather than the levels of the index itself.

This is known as the property of “translational invariance” in mathematics, and it makes the series more amenable to estimation using a variety of statistical techniques. So it is the chained PCE that forms the basis of this time series, with the analysis being amended to keep up with new data as it becomes available.

Core PCE Price Index News Direction Prediction February 29th

The main purpose of measuring inflation is to estimate the economy’s economic health. When the inflation is too high, the purchasing power decreases and it could lead to an economic downturn. If the inflation is low, people may delay purchases and the economy will not reach its full potential.

Therefore, it is imperative to use an accurate measure of inflation, so that the Federal Reserve can make good judgments about the interest rates. High core inflation puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Likewise, lower core inflation puts pressure on them to lower rates.

Knowing what the core PCE is and how to read its growth is essential in the global economy and in the foreign exchange markets. I will use a combination of fundamental analysis and technical analysis to forecast the movements of the forex pairs. Basic trading theory holds that currencies will rise with high or rising interest rates because higher rates provide better yields for the investors.

On the other hand, as inflation rises, purchasing power decreases. The central bank raises the borrowing rates to keep the inflation in check. Therefore, understanding the US core PCE growth and its significance helped me to understand “when” and “why” the dollar may appreciate and depreciate in the forex markets.

My prediction for the Core PCE Price Index News Direction Prediction February 29th 2024

In the past two months , the US core PCE index has shown neutrality and the PCE year of year was negative of 2.9% from 3.2% previous and the forecast 3%. By analyzing, and keeping an eye on the US economy, we can clearly see that this year the FED surely will give something to the American people.

Speaking less, I assume that the PCE price index of the 29th Feb 2024 is going to be bearish USD based. It will be released under 2.8% forecast for the YoY. And CPE MoM is going to be bullish +0,43%.

Now the question is: what direction is likely to end on the chart? So because I know the MoM is mostly the leader. I will go for a buy no matter what happens or i may stay away and enter the trade in the middle.

Besides the two conflicts, let put in mind that the jobless claims are coming to put some petrol on the fire. Overall i will stay with my decisions.

ADP Non Farm Employment Change Forex News Direction Prediction January 31st. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly measure of the non-farm private sector employment, based on payroll data from approximately 400,000 U.S. businesses.

It is a specific indicator within this report that measures the change in the number of employed people in the non-farm private sector from the previous month. This includes employees in industries such as construction, manufacturing, trade, transportation, utilities, information, financial activities, professional and business services, education and health services, leisure and hospitality, and other services.

The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is seen as an important economic indicator as it provides a snapshot of job growth or decline in the private sector. This can have a significant impact on the overall economy, as consumer spending and economic growth are closely tied to employment levels.

To calculate the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, the ADP uses its payroll data to measure the change in employment from the previous month. This data is then compared to the previous month’s data to determine whether there has been an increase or decrease in employment.

The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is released two days before the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly Employment Situation Report, which includes data on non-farm payroll employment from both private and government sectors. The ADP report is often seen as a precursor to the BLS report, and can provide insight into potential trends in the labor market.

Investors, policymakers, and economists closely monitor the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change as it can impact decisions related to investment, monetary policy, and economic forecasts. A higher than expected increase in employment can be seen as a positive sign for the economy, while a lower than expected change may signal potential economic weakness.

Also, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is an important economic indicator that measures the change in employment in the non-farm private sector. It is closely monitored and can provide valuable insights into the health of the labor market and the overall economy.

ADP Non Farm Employment Change in forex trading

In forex trading, the ADP Non Farm Employment Change is closely monitored by traders and analysts as it provides insight into the health of the US labor market and can have a significant impact on the value of the US dollar. A higher than expected reading is generally seen as positive for the US economy and can lead to an increase in the value of the US dollar, while a lower than expected reading can have the opposite effect.

Traders often use the ADP Non Farm Employment Change data to make informed trading decisions. For example, if the data shows a strong increase in employment, traders may interpret this as a sign of a growing economy and choose to buy the US dollar. On the other hand, if the data shows a decrease in employment, traders may view this as a negative signal and choose to sell the US dollar.

It is important to note that the ADP Non Farm Employment Change data is just one piece of the puzzle in forex trading. Traders also consider other economic indicators, such as the NFP report, GDP, and inflation data, to get a more comprehensive view of the US economy.

Past ADP Non Farm Payroll data

As from Investing.com “U.S. private employers added far more roles than expected in December, pointing to lingering resilience in the labor market that may impact how Federal Reserve policymakers approach potential interest rate reductions this year.

Private payrolls came in at 164,000 last month, rising from a downwardly revised mark of 101,000 in November, according to data from payrolls processor ADP. Economists had predicted a reading of 115,000.

The leisure and hospitality industries led the gains in private sector roles, ADP noted. Hiring at construction businesses also “held strong” despite headwinds from elevated borrowing costs, offsetting losses in the manufacturing sector.

Pay growth, meanwhile, eased to 5.4% from a rate of 5.6% a month earlier, extending a deceleration that started in September 2022.

“We’re returning to a labor market that’s very much aligned with pre-pandemic hiring,” said ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson in a statement. “While wages didn’t drive the recent bout of inflation, now that pay growth has retreated, any risk of a wage-price spiral has all but disappeared.“

On Wednesday, separate date from the Labor Department showed that the number of people quitting their jobs fell to its lowest level since 2021 in November. A slowdown in job-hopping could help defuse wage growth, which in turn may contribute to easing price pressures. U.S. job openings also dropped to an almost three-year low.

The ADP numbers serve as a precursor to the all-important non-farm payrolls report due out on Friday, which could offer further insight into the U.S. jobs picture. Cooling labor demand has been a key focus for the Fed, with officials arguing that such a trend may alleviate some upward pressure on inflation.

Markets have been on the lookout for signs of slackening price gains in the U.S., which may persuade the Fed to soon begin stepping away from an aggressive series of rate hikes. The Fed’s December meeting, at which the central bank unveiled a more dovish outlook than previous projections, fed this optimism late last year.

But minutes from the gathering seemingly poured cold water on the notion. The account showed that while policymakers believed rates were “as likely at or near [their] peak,” there was still an “unusually elevated” amount of uncertainty lingering around the U.S. economy heading into 2024. Rate-setters also suggested that more evidence would likely be necessary to confirm that inflation was sustainably moving down towards their stated 2% target”.

ADP Non Farm Employment Change Forex News Direction Prediction January 31st

How i have predicted this and come up with some conclusions. Above all, I have nalyze Historical Data of ADP NFP report to understand the trends and patterns. This has given me an idea of how the report will affects the overall market and how accurate it has been in predicting the BLS NFP report in the past.

Secondly, I consider Macroeconomic Factors. The ADP NFP report is affected by various macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation rate, interest rates, and consumer spending. I have therefore analyzed these factors and their current trends to predict the ADP NFP news direction report of 31st January 2024.

Thirdly, I have monitored Employment Trends. I kept an eye on the employment trends in different sectors of the economy. This has given can me an idea of which industries are hiring and which are not, which then helped me in predicting the ADP NFP report.

Above all that, I do follow the market Expectations. These can play a significant role in predicting the ADP NFP report. If the market expects a strong report, it can lead to a positive market reaction, and vice versa.

Considering other Economic Indicators is crucial. The ADP NFP report is not the only economic indicator that affects the market. So i kept an eye on other reports such as the BLS NFP report, jobless claims, and consumer confidence to get a comprehensive view of the job market.

The journey to predicting a news isnt limited to one source alone, i have also consulted with experts economists in the US to get their insights and predictions on the ADP NFP report. All these have helped in getting a well-rounded view of the market and bring to you.

In conclusion, The ADP NFP report is just one of the many factors that can affect the market. It is essential to be flexible when considering my predictions and anybody elese’s forex news predictions, because we all have to adapt to any unexpected changes in the market.

Predicting economic indicators like the ADP NFP report takes practice and experience. I Keep track of all my predictions and learn from my mistakes to improve my forecasting skills. So now, what may be the outcome of the ADP Non Farm Payroll of the 31st January 2024?

With all said above, I am conviced that we are going to have a bearish market based on the dollar. The economists have concluded with a consensus of 143k comparing to the previous of 164k, this shows a slowdown of the ADP of this month.

To predict forex news direction you can start with this book. As for me i believe the actual will be less then the 143k shared by the consensus. What do you think, please leave a comment in the section below.

Risks Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.

JOLTs Job Openings Forex News Prediction January 30th. JOLTs stands for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. It is a monthly survey conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to gather data on job openings, hires, and separations in the United States. The survey collects information from a sample of about 16,000 establishments representing all industries and regions in the country.

The JOLTs survey provides valuable insights into the current state of the labor market, including the number of job openings, the number of new hires, and the rate of turnover in the workforce. This data is used by policymakers, economists, and businesses to make informed decisions about employment trends and the overall health of the economy.

To participate in the survey, establishments are randomly selected and contacted by the BLS to provide data on their job openings, hires, and separations for the previous month. The data is collected through both phone and online surveys and is kept confidential.

The JOLTs survey has been conducted since December 2000 and has become an important tool for tracking changes in the labor market. The data collected is used to calculate the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Rate (JOLTS), which is reported alongside the monthly employment data in the BLS’s Employment Situation report.

In summary, JOLTs Job Openings is a monthly survey conducted by the BLS to gather data on job openings, hires, and separations in the United States. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the labor market and is used by policymakers, economists, and businesses to make informed decisions about employment trends and the overall health of the economy.

The current state of the labor market in the US

The current state of the labor market in the US is characterized by a historically low unemployment rate and steady job growth. As of July 2019, the unemployment rate is at 3.7%, which is near a 50-year low. This indicates that there are more job opportunities available for workers.

In addition, the US economy has been steadily adding jobs for over 100 consecutive months, with an average of 165,000 jobs being added each month in 2019. This suggests that businesses are continuing to hire and expand, creating more employment opportunities.

However, there are also some challenges and issues facing the labor market. One of the main concerns is the growing income inequality, with wages for low and middle-income workers remaining stagnant while the top earners continue to see significant increases. This has led to a growing wealth gap and has made it difficult for some workers to make ends meet.

Another issue is the skills gap, where there is a mismatch between the skills that workers possess and the skills that are in demand by employers. This has resulted in a shortage of workers in certain industries and a surplus in others, leading to a lack of qualified workers for certain jobs.

In addition, there is also a growing trend of automation and technology replacing jobs, which has resulted in job losses in some industries. This has also led to a need for workers to continually update their skills and adapt to new technologies in order to remain competitive in the job market.

Overall, the labor market in the US is currently strong and there are many job opportunities available. However, there are also challenges and issues that need to be addressed in order to ensure a more fair and sustainable labor market for all workers.

JOLTs Job Openings in November 2023

According to CNBC, Job openings nudged down in November, down to lowest in more than two years.

The demand for workers went down to its lowest level in more than 2½ years in November while hirings and layoffs both moved lower, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.

 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed employment listings nudged lower to 8.79 million, about in line with the Dow Jones estimate for 8.8 million and the lowest since March 2021. Openings fell by 62,000, though the rate of vacancies as a measure of employment was unchanged at 5.3%.

Further to the modest move lower in openings, hiring fell by 363,000, moving the rate down to 3.5%, a 0.2 percentage point decline. Layoffs dropped by 116,000, with the rate holding steady at 1%. 

Report last month from the Labor Department showed an increase in nonfarm payrolls of 199,000 in November. And the report last Friday December showed growth of 170,000.

Job openings went down by 128,000 for transportation, warehousing and utilities and were off 97,000 in leisure and hospitality. Wholesale trade saw an increase of 63,000 and financial activities grew by 38,000.

Federal Reserve officials watch the JOLTS report as an indicator for evidence of labor slack. The historically tight labor market had helped push inflation higher, hitting a more than 40-year peak in mid-2022 that also has slowly begun to recede. 

The reserve bank keeps a close eye on the Job opening this January 2024 as they are likely to begin a gradual reduction in interest rates this year around March if inflation continues to come down.

JOLTs Job Openings Forex News Prediction January 30th

“Today’s JOLTS data is another signal that the Fed is delivering a soft landing,” said Ron Temple, chief market strategist at Lazard last month. As for

ForexNewsPredictions.Com’s team today’s report seems good news for the economy and not so good for American workers, as it suggests that the Fed is likely to cut rates in March 2024 if the JOLTs Job Openings news direction goes accordingly.

On Investing.com, we can clearly see that the economists have come up with a consesnsus of 8.730M comparing to the previous of of 8.790M. To show a slowdown from the January 30th JOLTs news release. What that means for fundamental traders and how do we see this at ForexNewsPredictions.Com?

We found that at this stage, with the US preparing for the elections, there might be some expected outcomes that are simply good for business. But it is also very difficult to say as other American politicians are thinking that this can be to “positivate”new word  the glory of the Biden government.

But we believe in the independence of the Fed, and we believe that JOLTs Jobs Openings of the 30ths January will go bearish on the US Dollar. And the rest of the news releases of the beginning in 2024 will surely determine if in March Fed Rates will be a reality.

What do you think of the JOLTs Jobs Opening of 30th January 2024? As a fundamental trader, would you leave your point of view and analysis in the comment section below?

Or ask to be added to our WhatsApp Channel at the number in the contact page. Your professional news predictions may be featured on this website.

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Risks Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.